Research
Studies
Reproducible educational studies. Synthetic findings do not establish real-world profitability.
general
How Often Does a Fair +700 Outcome Appear Across Ten Trials?
Binomial analysis of a fair +700 price over ten independent trials shows high chance of at least one win alongside frequent net unit losses at the modal win count.
horse-racing
Favourite Versus Rest-of-Field Probability in Nine-Runner Races
Normalized field probabilities show the favourite can lead individually while the rest of the field remains collectively more likely.
horse-racing
Comparing Proportional and Power Margin Removal
Different de-margining methods redistribute field probability differently; no single method is silently treated as truth.