Novus Odds
 

Research study

Comparing Proportional and Power Margin Removal

Different de-margining methods redistribute field probability differently; no single method is silently treated as truth.

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Research question

How sensitive are normalized probabilities to margin-removal method?

Dataset

Sport horse-racing · model horse-multi-runner-1.0.0 · Cross-method comparison on one priced field · seed study-margin

Findings

  • Proportional, power, Shin, odds-ratio, and additive methods diverge on longshot mass.
  • Users should select and disclose the method used.

Limitations

  • Illustrative synthetic fields only.
Responsible use: synthetic results are educational only and do not identify real-world profitable selections. Read the responsible-use page.