Novus Odds
 

Changelog

What's new in Novus Odds

Releases, fixes, math corrections and security updates. Dates use UTC.

Learning, calibration & performance

v0.3

July 24, 2026

A learning-and-polish pass: step-by-step tutorials for every lab, the discrepancy detector everywhere, statistical significance on the calibration pages, site-wide motion, and a faster front end.

Added
  • Tutorials hub with 14 step-by-step guides — one per lab plus core concepts — with an on-lab "follow the tutorial" prompt.
  • Mathematical discrepancy detector now on every lab (Odds, Strategy, Sports, Props, Casino, Datasets, Horse Racing, sport adapters, Repeated Price).
  • Statistical significance on the Statistics pages: 95% Wilson intervals, a proportion z-test, and a chi-square goodness-of-fit, with per-sport calibration tables.
  • Site-wide entrance animations and an animated, video-like homepage hero — all disabled under reduced-motion.
  • Breadcrumbs and a calibration-statistics guide section for the Statistics area.
Changed
  • Charts now load on demand (recharts is split out of every lab's initial bundle) for a lighter first load.
  • Large Odds Lab simulations run in a Web Worker so the interface never freezes, even at a million iterations.
  • The advertising script now defers to browser idle time to improve page-load responsiveness.

Research, compliance & content update

v0.2

July 24, 2026

A broad polish pass: a rigorous math review, a first-class discrepancy detector, the blog and changelog, unique social images, and privacy/consent hardening.

Added
  • Blog with categories, filtering and pagination, seeded with ten educational articles.
  • This changelog, plus a Contact page and a direct research contact email.
  • Mathematical discrepancy detector: model-vs-market, positive-EV, no-vig fair gap, calibration drift and arbitrage, ranked by severity.
  • Unique, on-brand social (Open Graph) images for every major page and post.
  • Breadcrumbs and structured data (Organization, WebSite, Article, FAQ, BreadcrumbList) across the site.
  • Server-rendered educational sections on every lab explaining how to read the results.
Changed
  • Rewrote per-sport scoring models (Poisson for low-scoring sports, Gaussian for high-scoring) so model and observed probabilities now calibrate.
  • Refreshed the Privacy, Terms and Cookie policies with data-controller, rights, age and cookie-table detail.
Fixed
  • Corrected the Kelly stake calculation and the displayed vig, which now reflects the real overround from the fair line.
  • Fixed the margin-removal (de-vig) methods: power, Shin and odds-ratio now use their standard formulations.
  • Removed a scoring floor that biased basketball matchups and made overtime tie-breaks unbiased.
  • Fixed a large-sample crash in the Props Lab and a tail-row miscalculation in the Repeated Price experiment.
Security
  • Added HTTP security headers (HSTS, X-Content-Type-Options, Referrer-Policy, Permissions-Policy) and a report-only Content Security Policy.
  • Implemented Google Consent Mode v2 with all signals denied by default until you consent.

Novus Odds launch

v0.1

July 22, 2026

The first public build of the sports-probability research laboratory.

Added
  • Core simulation labs: Odds Lab, Model Comparison, Props Lab, Datasets and the Repeated Price experiment.
  • Sport adapters for soccer, football, hockey, basketball, baseball, tennis, golf, handball and horse racing.
  • Statistics pages with odds-band calibration aggregates, and a deterministic Synthetic Sports Replay.
  • Learn, Documentation, Help Centre, FAQ and a full breakdowns guide.
  • Saved results history and a mobile-first navigation shell.