Novus Odds
 
SportsIntermediate· 8 min read· 4 steps

Simulate a matchup, soccer 1X2, or a field

Rate two teams, price a three-way soccer market, or generate a multi-runner board — and read fair vs priced markets.

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  1. 1

    Pick a mode

    Matchup rates Team A vs Team B with spreads and totals; soccer produces a 1X2 market with an explicit draw; field mode builds a horse-style multi-runner board.

  2. 2

    Set team ratings

    Adjust offense, defense, and pace. Fair odds and example bets shift before any simulation noise, so you can see the model's structure first.

  3. 3

    Read fair vs priced

    The market breakdown lists each side's hit rate, fair odds, and priced odds. The gap is the overround you configured.

  4. 4

    Inspect the discrepancy panel

    For soccer, the three 1X2 outcomes form a complete field, so the detector can surface the no-vig fair gap across home/draw/away.

Key takeaways

  • Overtime keeps moneylines decisive in matchup mode.
  • Soccer 1X2 splits vig across three outcomes.
  • Field mode adds odds-band frequency tables.
Related breakdowns guide →All tutorials →
Responsible use: these tutorials teach probability mathematics with synthetic data. They do not identify real-world profitable selections. Read the responsible-use page.